While they’ve sputtered most of the year and will likely have to win a play-in game to make the postseason, the Los Angeles Lakers have suddenly become the scary, dangerous team nobody wants to meet in the playoffs.
What’s suddenly made the Lakers so dangerous is not just that they’re winning, it’s how and to whom they’re doing it. After a midseason offensive transformation, the Lakers are now healthy and peaking at the right time.
While they’re still playing bully ball and dominating points-in-the-paint and free-throws-made, the Lakers have suddenly transformed their poor 3-point shooting from their worst team weakness into a new found strength.
L.A.’s 3-point shooting transformation has totally changed their blueprint or formula for how to win games. Since February 1st, L.A.’s 39.6% on threes is second best in the entire NBA and their 20–8 win-loss record third best. Over the last three months, the Lakers have increased the number of threes they make per game while reducing the number of threes opponents make per game so their 3-point differential per game is now very close to zero.
Slowly but surely, the Lakers have completely transformed their 3-point shooting from their greatest weakness to a new found strength. The first three months, the Lakers lost 3-point differential by -9.6 points (10.9–14.1).
After losing the January 3–point war by -9.9 points (11.8–15.1), the Lakers improved, only losing February by -3.3 points (12.3–13.4), March by -1.2 points (13.3–13.7), and finally breaking even over last 9-games (13.0–13.0).
In the process, the Lakers have also shown that they can hold their own against the top teams in the league, posting big wins over top-10 teams like the Celtics, Timberwolves, Thunder, Bucks, Clippers, Suns, and 76ers.
While they need to prove they can beat teams like the Nuggets and Jazz, whose low-gravity centers Jokic and Sabonis are tough matchups for AD, the Lakers have become the team nobody wants to meet in the playoffs.
Let’s take a closer look at how the Lakers new found 3-point shooting prowess has changed their formula for winning games and made them a far scarier and far more dangerous team to meet in the NBA playoffs.
Lakers Confident of Playoff Chances Regardless of Seeding
Right now, the Los Angeles Lakers are 9th in the West with a 44–33 record, just 1.0 game behind the 8th place Sacramento Kings and only 1.5 games behind the 7th place New Orleans Pelicans and 6th place Phoenix Suns.
Moving up the Western Conference competitive standings has been extremely difficult. Despite winning 22 of their last 33 games, the Lakers have been stuck in 9th or 10th place in the West for the last 74 days.
L.A. has been locked in 9th or 10th place in the West since January 21st when their win-loss record was 22–22. Now they find themselves with just 5 games left in the season to move up to the 6th, 7th, or 8th seed in West.
At this point, the Lakers’ are understandably strategically not worrying about their final seeding and instead are just focused on winning every single game they play, confident they can survive the play-in tourney.
With James and Davis healthy and playing like top-10 superstars, a starting lineup that’s an offensive juggernaut, and dramatically improved 3-point shooting, the Lakers have become every NBA team’s worst nightmare.
The Lakers’ 5 remaining games will include home games against the Cavs, Warriors, and Timberwolves and road games against the Grizzlies and Pelicans. The Lakers’ goal is to win all 5 games to finish year with 49 wins.
The Kings lead the Lakers by 2 losses and have 3 road games against the Knicks, Celtics, and Nets and 3 home games against the Pelicans, Suns, and Trail Blazers. The Kings won season series and own tiebreaker over Lakers.
The Pelicans have 5 games remaining in the season. They’re at home for the Spurs game next and the Lakers on last day of the season. In between, they have 3 road games against the Trail Blazers, Kings, and Warriors.
Finally, the Phoenix Suns have 6 games remaining in the regular season, including home games against the Timberwolves, Pelicans, and Clippers followed by road games against the Clippers, Kings, and Timberwolves.
The Los Angeles Lakers are confident they can survive the play-in tourney and make the NBA playoffs as the 7th or 8th seed, win first round matchup against the Timberwolves, Nuggets, or Thunder, and move on from there.
Lakers Suddenly Getting Healthy And Peaking At Right Time
Over last 9 games, the Lakers led the entire league in multiple categories, including their 8–1 record, 123.3 points per game, 22.3 free throw makes per game, 40.8 defensive rebounds per game, and 49.9 rebounds per game.
While winning 8 of 9 games, the Lakers had the NBA’s 10th best offensive rating, 5th best defensive rating, and 6th best net rating. Most importantly, they avoided a negative 3-point shooting differential during those 9 games.
Instead, they made same number of threes as they allowed opponents to make during 9-game stretch for a 0.0 3-point shooting differential while still winning PIP by 8.9 points, FTM by 3.6 points, for total of 12.5 points.
Over that recent 9-game stretch, the Los Angeles Lakers’ starting lineup shot lights out, averaging a red hot 105.4 ppg, led by Davis’ 27.4 ppg, James 24.8 ppg, Russell’s 20.0 ppg, Hachimura’s 17.2 ppg, and Reaves 16.0 ppg.
Most importantly, the Lakers continued to shoot the ball well from every level, shooting a league third-best 49.7% from the field, a league 10th-best 38.0% from deep, and a league 5th-best 82.4% from the free throw line.
Ideally, the Lakers will win their five remaining games and at least jump from 9th place in the West to 7th or 8th place or with a little bit of good luck all the way up to 6th place in the West to avoid the play-in tournament.
Regardless, the Lakers are not worried about their seeding and are fully confident they can handle whatever challenge is put in front of them. They just need to keep on focusing on winning every single game they play.
The beauty of their new winning formula is the Lakers no longer need to have a 10 point advantage in points-in-the-paint and free-throws-made to offset a negative 10-point disadvantage from 3-point shooting differential.
Being able to transform their 3-point shooting from a big disadvantage to a positive advantage has completely transformed the Lakers’ chances to win their 18th NBA championship from a pipe dream to a possible miracle.
The Los Angeles Lakers will start the NBA playoffs as one of the hottest and healthiest teams in the NBA and a team that none of the other teams in the West want to meet in the first two rounds or the East in the NBA Finals.
If you enjoyed this article and want to share your ideas and comments with other informed die-hard Lakers fans, please join us at Lakerholics.Com.
